Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the real estate sector [4][88]. Core Views - The real estate sales data shows narrow fluctuations, with a trend of weakening in investment and financing recovery. The cumulative transaction volume of new residential properties in 30 cities is 24.23 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 2%. Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen have varying transaction performances, with year-on-year changes of -6%, +11%, +24%, and +62% respectively [1][12]. - The report anticipates that future real estate policies will be crucial in stabilizing the market, with expectations for inventory reduction policies such as stock land repurchase and urban village renovation to be steadily advanced. The report suggests that real estate stocks still present speculative opportunities [3][88]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The sales data for new residential properties in 30 cities shows a year-on-year increase of 2%, with significant variances among major cities. The transaction volume for second-hand residential properties in 18 cities has increased by 28% year-on-year [1][19]. Market Performance - The real estate sector outperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.9 percentage points this month, with a slight decline of 0.3% since the last strategy report. The sector ranks 7th among 31 industries [2][81]. Investment Strategy - The current real estate sales fundamentals are expected to remain stable, with a continuous upward trend since the fourth quarter of the previous year. The report recommends specific stocks, including "I Love My Home" and "Beike-W" for investment [3][88].
房地产行业2025年5月投资策略:销售数据窄幅波动,后续政策仍值得期待
国信证券·2025-04-27 07:15