建筑材料行业研究周报：外部扰动加大，推荐扩内需和一带一路标的-20250427

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the need to focus on resilient companies with high dividends and those benefiting from domestic demand expansion, recommending companies such as Dongfang Yuhong, Sankeshu, Tubao, Weixing New Materials, and Beixin Building Materials [1] - The report highlights the expected commencement of major national projects, particularly the Yarlung project, and recommends companies involved in these projects, such as Zhongyan Dadi [1] - The report notes the high demand in the civil explosives sector, recommending companies like Guangdong Hongda and Xuefeng Technology [1] - The report discusses the impact of "reciprocal tariffs" on domestic investment expectations, recommending companies like China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and Sichuan Road and Bridge [1] - The report mentions the trend of domestic substitution in the paint industry, recommending companies like Maijia Xincai and Songjing Co., Ltd. [1] - The report anticipates a renewed catalyst for the "Belt and Road" strategy amid trade tensions, recommending international engineering companies such as China State Construction and China Metallurgical Group [1] Summary by Sections Market Overview - In the 17th week of April, new home sales in 30 major cities decreased by 21% year-on-year, while second-hand home transactions increased by 21% year-on-year [2][21] - The national cement market price fell by 0.5% this week, with price adjustments mainly in East, Central, and Southwest China [3][23] Cement Industry - The average operating load of cement mills nationwide is 49.04%, down 1.83 percentage points from last week [3][34] - The report indicates that the cement price is expected to continue its downward trend due to weak supply-demand dynamics [23] Recommendations - Companies with strong operational resilience and high dividends are recommended to benefit from domestic demand stimulation, including Dongfang Yuhong and Weixing New Materials [8] - Companies in the copper mining sector, such as Jinchengxin, are expected to see significant growth due to resource release and strong demand [8] - Companies involved in the Yarlung project and civil explosives are also highlighted for their growth potential [8] - The report suggests focusing on infrastructure investment, recommending companies like China State Construction and China Communications Construction [8] - The report identifies domestic paint companies as beneficiaries of the trend towards local substitution [8]