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安琪酵母(600298):公司点评:成本边际下行,利润逐步修复

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 projected at 16.69 billion, 19.14 billion, and 21.84 billion RMB respectively, reflecting growth rates of +26%, +15%, and +14% [5] Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 performance showed a revenue of 3.794 billion RMB, up 8.95% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 370 million RMB, up 16.02% year-on-year, indicating that the performance met expectations [2] - The main business continues to grow steadily, with the sugar business being gradually divested. Yeast and deep processing products generated 2.773 billion RMB in revenue, a 13.2% increase year-on-year, while the sugar segment saw a significant decline in revenue by 60.7% [3] - Cost reductions have led to improved net profit margins, with a net margin of 9.75%, up 0.59 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a decrease in raw material costs and better product mix [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.794 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 8.95%, and a net profit of 370 million RMB, reflecting a 16.02% increase [2] - The company’s gross margin improved to 25.97%, up 1.31 percentage points year-on-year, due to lower procurement costs and increased efficiency [4] Business Segments - The yeast and deep processing segment generated 2.773 billion RMB in revenue, up 13.2% year-on-year, while the sugar segment's revenue fell by 60.7% to 1.57 billion RMB [3] - Domestic revenue slightly decreased by 0.3% to 2.099 billion RMB, while international revenue increased by 22.9% to 1.684 billion RMB, indicating strong overseas market growth [3] Future Projections - The company expects net profits to grow significantly over the next few years, with projections of 16.69 billion RMB in 2025, 19.14 billion RMB in 2026, and 21.84 billion RMB in 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 18x, 15x, and 13x respectively [5]