SHUANGHUAN COMPANY(002472) 民生证券·2025-04-27 08:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing steady revenue growth, with projected revenues of CNY 87.8 billion in 2024, representing an 8.8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of CNY 10.2 billion, up 25.5% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is expanding its global presence, particularly in the electric vehicle market, where it holds a market share of 40%-50% in domestic new energy vehicles [3]. - The report highlights the growth potential in the robotics sector, particularly in high-precision reducers, with a gross margin of 29.1% for this segment [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenues of CNY 20.4 billion, down 7.4% year-on-year and 15.7% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to a contraction in steel sales [2]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 improved to 31.0%, an increase of 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a decrease in low-margin steel trading and improved margins in passenger vehicle gear business [2]. - The net profit for Q4 2024 was CNY 2.86 billion, reflecting a 26.0% year-on-year increase and a 7.9% quarter-on-quarter increase [2]. Growth Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 104.7 billion, CNY 124.7 billion, and CNY 149.6 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of CNY 12.4 billion, CNY 15.2 billion, and CNY 18.7 billion [4][5]. - The report anticipates a steady increase in earnings per share (EPS) from CNY 1.21 in 2024 to CNY 2.21 in 2027 [5]. Market Expansion - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion, particularly in Hungary, to cater to European market demands and enhance its influence in the region [3]. - The report emphasizes the company's focus on developing intelligent drive mechanisms and robotics, aiming to increase the value per vehicle [3][4].