CHINA TELECOM(601728) 华泰证券·2025-04-27 08:56Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 134.51 billion in Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.01% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 8.864 billion, up 3.11% year-on-year, which is slightly below the previous expectation of RMB 9.2 billion [1] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth in digital infrastructure and AI applications, with a strong focus on new productivity areas such as AI, quantum computing, and satellite communications [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of RMB 134.51 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 0.01% and a net profit of RMB 8.864 billion, reflecting a growth of 3.11% [1] - The company's mobile user base reached 429 million, with a net increase of 4.95 million, and the penetration rate of 5G users rose to 62% [2] - The company’s gross margin and net margin improved by 0.06 and 0.14 percentage points year-on-year to 29.47% and 6.56%, respectively [3] Growth Drivers - The company is actively expanding its digitalization efforts, with intelligent revenue growing by 151.6% year-on-year and IDC revenue increasing by 10.4% to RMB 9.5 billion [2] - New productivity areas such as satellite communication and quantum computing saw revenue growth of 37.2% and 81.1% year-on-year, respectively [2] Profitability Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts, expecting net profits of RMB 35.458 billion, RMB 37.751 billion, and RMB 39.904 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][12] - The projected revenue for 2025 is RMB 548.495 billion, with a growth rate of 4.76% [5] Valuation - The target price for the A-share is set at RMB 9.13, based on a 1.8x PB valuation for 2025, while the H-share target price is set at HKD 6.61, based on a 1.23x PB valuation [4][13]