KDL(002850) 东吴证券·2025-04-27 08:55Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows high profit margins, with a revenue of 3.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.5% [7] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 20-30% in the structural components sector for 2025, potentially reaching around 15 billion yuan [7] - The company has a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow of 680 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 198.9% [7] - The company is well-positioned for future growth with its innovative product offerings, including a new lightweight harmonic reducer made from Peek material [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to reach 10.51 billion yuan in 2023, growing to 20.07 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.80% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1.20 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.79 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 20.00% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 4.39 yuan in 2023 to 10.20 yuan in 2027 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 134.50 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 36.78 billion yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.63 for 2023, which is expected to decrease to 13.19 by 2027 [1][5]