STEC(600820) 华泰证券·2025-04-27 09:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 68.8 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7.28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.84 billion RMB, down 3.54% year-on-year, slightly below expectations due to a slowdown in traditional infrastructure investment [1] - The company focuses on high-quality development and digital transformation, with a target revenue and profit growth of 5-10% in 2025, supported by strong cash flow and a high dividend payout ratio [1][4] - The digital information business showed significant growth, with an overall gross margin increase to 12.2% year-on-year [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the core construction business generated revenue of 57.2 billion RMB, accounting for 83% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 6.96%, up 0.03 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company reported a net cash inflow from operating activities of 4.59 billion RMB, an increase of 1.41 billion RMB year-on-year, with a cash collection and payment ratio of 97.4% and 88.0% respectively [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 2.98 billion RMB, 3.12 billion RMB, and 3.26 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment in revenue growth expectations [4] - The target price is set at 9.24 RMB, based on a valuation method that considers comparable averages, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0x for construction and 27x for information operations [4][8]