Zhejiang Longsheng(600352) 华泰证券·2025-04-27 09:08Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of 11.88 RMB [6][7]. Core Views - The company's Q1 net profit improved year-on-year, primarily due to the realization of revenue from its real estate business, which is entering a monetization phase [1]. - The dye and intermediate product markets are showing signs of recovery, contributing positively to the company's performance [2]. - The real estate business is expected to continue generating revenue, with a significant inventory of 291.8 billion RMB as of Q1 [3]. - The company has a strong competitive position in the dye industry, which supports its valuation [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1, the company achieved an operating income of 3.24 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decline of 7.2% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 38.7%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 400 million RMB, exceeding expectations [1]. - The sales volume for dyes, additives, and intermediates in Q1 was 56,000 tons, 15,000 tons, and 27,000 tons respectively, with year-on-year growth of 0.8%, 0.3%, and 7.8% [2]. Real Estate Business - The real estate segment is entering a monetization phase, with the "Bay Up" project achieving over 90% sales rate. The inventory as of Q1 increased by 350 million RMB year-on-year [3]. - Non-recurring gains increased by 180 million RMB to 100 million RMB in Q1, mainly due to fair value changes in financial assets and liabilities [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 2.15 billion RMB, 2.36 billion RMB, and 2.47 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.66 RMB, 0.72 RMB, and 0.76 RMB [4]. - The target price is set at 11.88 RMB, based on a 18x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's leading position in the dye industry and orderly progress in real estate projects [4].