国瓷材料：25Q1净利增加，下游市场持续开拓-20250427

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Guocera Materials with a target price of 18.50 RMB [6][4]. Core Views - Guocera Materials reported Q1 2025 revenue of 970 million RMB, an increase of 18% year-on-year but a decrease of 10% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 140 million RMB, up 2% year-on-year and up 11% quarter-on-quarter, slightly below the forecasted 150 million RMB due to price pressures on some products. The company is expected to have growth potential in new materials, justifying the "Overweight" rating [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Guocera Materials achieved revenue of 970 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 18% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 10%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 140 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11%. The non-recurring net profit was 130 million RMB, up 5% year-on-year and down 0.2% quarter-on-quarter [1][3]. Market Expansion - The company is successfully expanding its market in electronic materials, particularly in MLCC electronic pastes and nano-composite zirconia. The global MLCC market is expected to grow by 7% year-on-year to 112 billion RMB in 2025. Guocera is cultivating multiple products in the MLCC field, which is anticipated to enhance its global market share [2][3]. Product Development - Demand for ceramic bearing balls is increasing due to the growth of the electric vehicle sector. The company is also actively promoting its ceramic ink and glaze products in overseas markets. The solid-state electrolyte and zirconia microbeads are being progressively applied in the lithium battery sector, with expectations for continued market share growth [3][4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for Guocera Materials is maintained at 740 million RMB for 2025, 900 million RMB for 2026, and 1.06 billion RMB for 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 23%, 21%, and 18% respectively. The EPS is projected to be 0.74 RMB for 2025, 0.90 RMB for 2026, and 1.06 RMB for 2027. The target price is set at 18.50 RMB based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025 [4][10].