Luxi Chemical(000830) 华泰证券·2025-04-27 10:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 14.98 RMB [7][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in net profit for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 148%, reaching 2.03 billion RMB. The revenue for the same period was 29.76 billion RMB, up 17% year-on-year [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 7.29 billion RMB, an 8% increase year-on-year, although net profit decreased by 27% to 410 million RMB due to substantial inventory impairment losses [1][4]. - The company is expected to benefit from integrated production and scale advantages, with new capacity gradually coming online, which is anticipated to drive performance growth [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 29.76 billion RMB and a net profit of 2.03 billion RMB, with the fourth quarter revenue at 8.18 billion RMB, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 7.29 billion RMB, an 8% increase year-on-year, but a 27% decline in net profit compared to the previous year [1][3]. Price Trends and Market Conditions - Average prices for various products, including butanol and DMF, declined in 2024 due to increased supply, with most products experiencing price drops [2][3]. - The company’s new projects, particularly in nylon production, are expected to contribute positively to revenue growth [2]. Cost Management and Future Prospects - The cost side of coal chemical production showed improvement in the first quarter of 2025, with significant price drops in raw materials like coal [3]. - New projects, including a 400,000-ton organic silicon project, are expected to come online and contribute to future growth [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 2.0 billion RMB, 2.3 billion RMB, and 2.6 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.07 RMB, 1.22 RMB, and 1.39 RMB [4][6]. - The target price of 14.98 RMB is based on a 14x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's integrated advantages and potential from new projects [4].