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润本股份(603193):收入延续高增,产品矩阵持续丰富

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a target price of —— yuan over the next 6 months [1]. Core Insights - The company continues to experience high revenue growth, with a diversified product matrix [2]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 13.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3.0 billion yuan, up 32.8% year-on-year [9]. - The company has a strong focus on the baby care and mosquito repellent segments, which are expected to show good growth potential [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecast: - 2024A: Revenue of 13.18 billion yuan, net profit of 3.00 billion yuan - 2025E: Revenue of 17.72 billion yuan, net profit of 3.92 billion yuan - 2026E: Revenue of 22.99 billion yuan, net profit of 5.05 billion yuan - 2027E: Revenue of 28.79 billion yuan, net profit of 6.36 billion yuan - Growth Rates: - Revenue growth rates are projected at 27.61% for 2024, 34.39% for 2025, 29.77% for 2026, and 25.22% for 2027 - Net profit growth rates are expected to be 32.80% for 2024, 30.52% for 2025, 28.78% for 2026, and 26.05% for 2027 [4][11]. Product and Market Analysis - The company has successfully increased the average selling price of its baby care products, with significant room for further price increases compared to competitors [9]. - The product matrix has been continuously enriched, with over 90 new or upgraded products launched in 2024, including children's sunscreen and egg yolk oil series [9]. - Online sales channels have shown rapid growth, with significant contributions from platforms like Douyin, while offline channels are also expanding [9]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 2024 is projected at 58.2%, with a net profit margin of 22.8% [9]. - The company is expected to maintain a healthy return on equity (ROE), projected to be 14.43% in 2024, increasing to 19.19% by 2027 [4][11].