创新新材（600361）：2024年报及2025年一季报点评：产品结构改善，业绩稳健增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price based on a PE of 11/10/8X for the years 2025-2027 respectively [3][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 80.942 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.010 billion yuan, up 5.48% year-on-year [1]. - The product structure continues to optimize, leading to improved profitability, with significant increases in aluminum rod and cable production by 48.38% year-on-year [2]. - The company holds a significant market share in various segments, including 18.6% in aluminum wire domestically and 16.0% globally, ranking first in both categories [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 21.406 billion yuan, a 10.51% increase year-on-year, while the net profit decreased by 8.26% to 220 million yuan [1]. - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 19.164 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.79% year-on-year growth, but the net profit fell by 26.55% to 207 million yuan [1]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 3.39%, an increase of 0.17 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 1.24%, a slight decrease of 0.07 percentage points [2]. Production and Pricing Metrics - In 2024, the production of aluminum rods was 327.97 million tons, down 3.80% year-on-year, while aluminum rod and cable processing fees averaged 499 and 732 yuan per ton, respectively [2]. - The average price of aluminum ingots in 2024 was 19,921 yuan per ton, up 6.53% year-on-year [2]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.455 billion yuan in 2025, 1.622 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.850 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 11, 10, and 8 [3][4].