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水晶光电(002273):Q1业绩超预期,盈利能力持续提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 earnings that exceeded expectations, with revenue of 1.48 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 10.2%, and a net profit of 220 million yuan, up 23.7% year-over-year. The gross margin improved to 27.95%, an increase of 3.95 percentage points year-over-year [6][4] - The company is expected to benefit from optical innovation in the fruit supply chain and the growth potential of AI and AR technologies. The company has seen an increase in market share for micro-prisms and coated optical components, and it is well-positioned to capitalize on new product launches in the future [6][4] - The forecast for the company's net profit for 2025-2027 is 1.3 billion, 1.6 billion, and 1.9 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 20.0, 16.6, and 13.9 [6][4] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 5.08 billion yuan in 2023 to 10.94 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 18% [2] - The net profit is expected to increase from 600 million yuan in 2023 to 1.87 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 20% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.43 yuan in 2023 to 1.35 yuan in 2027 [2] Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 26.02 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 25.41 billion yuan [4] - The company is focusing on the development of AR technologies and has established partnerships with key players in the industry, indicating a strong commitment to innovation and growth in this sector [6][4]