NOVEL(002014) 信达证券·2025-04-27 13:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yongxin Co., Ltd. is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall sentiment appears positive based on the performance and growth expectations outlined in the report [1]. Core Viewpoints - Yongxin Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 848 million yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 89 million yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year, indicating stable growth despite a high base from the previous year and declining oil prices affecting product prices [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from a gradual improvement in downstream demand, with retail sales in the daily necessities and grain/oil food categories increasing by 6.8% and 12.2% year-on-year, respectively [2]. - The management team has undergone a renewal, focusing on talent acquisition and market-driven incentives to enhance product development and sales capabilities, which is anticipated to accelerate business expansion and improve profitability [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin was 21.3%, and the net profit margin was 10.5%, with slight changes compared to the previous year [3]. - The company’s operating cash flow was negative at -27 million yuan, which may be attributed to seasonal factors [3]. - Forecasts for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 510 million yuan, 550 million yuan, and 610 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13X, 12X, and 11X [3].