Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met market expectations, with revenue of 3.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit of 450 million yuan, up 22.9% year-on-year [8] - The domestic ultra-high voltage market has seen breakthroughs, while the external market is poised for expansion with new products [8] - The overseas demand for power grid construction remains high, with exports of transformers and high-voltage switches increasing by 40% and 30% year-on-year, respectively [8] - Cost control measures are ongoing, with significant increases in inventory and contract liabilities [8] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.73 billion yuan, 3.54 billion yuan, and 4.56 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21x, 16x, and 12x [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 12.46 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.25% [1] - The projected net profit for 2023A is 1.56 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.75% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is expected to be 2.00 yuan per share [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 27.04 billion yuan by 2025E [9] - The company’s total liabilities are expected to be 11.74 billion yuan by 2025E [9]
思源电气(002028):业绩符合市场预期,看好全年业绩超目标增长