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保险行业周报(20250421-20250425):万能险新规落地,监管持续推动负债成本管控-20250427
华创证券·2025-04-27 13:19

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [20]. Core Insights - The new regulations on universal insurance are expected to stabilize the industry by tightening both liability and asset requirements, which will help mitigate risks associated with the asset allocation pressure faced by insurance companies [3][4]. - The total premium for the insurance industry in the first quarter of 2025 was 21,745 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.9%, with property insurance premiums increasing by 5.1% and life insurance premiums decreasing by 0.3% [2][4]. - The average investment return assumption for listed insurance companies has been lowered in 2024, which may help alleviate the pressure on net investment returns and lead to a valuation recovery in the insurance sector [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The insurance index rose by 1.31% this week, outperforming the market by 0.93 percentage points, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Sunshine (+2.64%) and ZhongAn (+2.57%) [1]. Regulatory Developments - The Financial Regulatory Authority issued a notification on April 25, 2025, to strengthen the regulation of universal life insurance, which includes provisions for adjusting minimum guaranteed interest rates and investment limits in various asset classes [2][3]. Company Performance - China Ping An reported a net profit of 27.016 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a decrease of 26% year-on-year, while its operating profit increased by 2.4% [2]. - China Pacific Insurance achieved a net profit of 9.627 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 18% year-on-year [2]. Investment Recommendations - The recommended order for investment is: Property Insurance H, Ping An, Pacific Insurance, Xinhua, and China Life, with specific price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios provided for each company [5][9].