Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [10] Core Insights - The report highlights that the performance of the non-bank sector has lagged behind the broader market since the beginning of 2025, with a slight market correction observed this week. However, the first quarter results for brokerages show stable improvement, suggesting a favorable environment for investment [2][7] - It is recommended to actively increase allocations in April, with a focus on stocks that exhibit both performance and valuation growth. The report emphasizes the importance of patience in waiting for catalysts while continuing to invest in high-growth, undervalued stocks [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 1.2% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.8%. However, year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is down 8.6%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 4.9% [8] - The average daily trading volume in the market rose to 11,466.36 billion yuan, a 3.43% increase week-on-week, while the margin trading balance decreased slightly to 1.81 trillion yuan [8][39] Brokerage Performance - The report notes that the brokerage sector's performance is improving, with a recommendation to focus on high-growth, low-valuation stocks during the ongoing market correction [7] - Specific stocks recommended include New China Life Insurance, China Life Insurance, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, and Tonghuashun, with a focus on M&A themes for China Galaxy and stable dividend stocks like China Pacific Insurance and Jiangsu Jinzhong [7] Financial Market Trends - The report indicates that the financial supply-side reform is accelerating, particularly in the brokerage industry, which is progressing rapidly. This environment presents opportunities for thematic investments in the short term [7] - The report also tracks key financial metrics, noting that the average daily turnover and trading volume have shown signs of recovery, indicating a potential upward trend in brokerage profitability [39][45] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance sector saw a cumulative premium income of 21,745 billion yuan in March 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.93%. However, life insurance premiums showed a slight decline [25][29] - The total assets of the insurance industry reached 37.84 trillion yuan, with a net asset scale of 3.52 trillion yuan, indicating a healthy growth trajectory [29][30] Investment Banking Activity - In March 2025, equity financing reached 568.10 billion yuan, a significant increase of 1141.3% month-on-month, while bond financing also saw a rise to 8.69 trillion yuan, up 26.5% [49][50] - The report anticipates an increase in stock underwriting volumes due to the promotion of refinancing regulations and registration systems, while bond underwriting will need to be monitored closely in relation to interest rate fluctuations [50]
券商季报稳定改善,配置价值仍在提升
长江证券·2025-04-27 13:41