GONGNIU(603195) 浙商证券·2025-04-27 13:51Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 16.8 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.3 billion yuan, up 10% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 24 yuan per 10 shares, increasing the cash dividend payout ratio to 73% [1] - The company's performance in the electric connection and smart electrical lighting segments remains stable, while the new energy business shows significant growth [2][3][4] - The gross margin is under short-term pressure due to high copper prices, but the net profit margin improved in Q1 2025 [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 16.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.3 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 3.7 billion yuan [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.9 billion yuan and a net profit of 1 billion yuan, both showing a year-on-year increase of 3% and 5% respectively [1] Business Segments - Electric Connection: Revenue reached 7.68 billion yuan in 2024, a 4% increase year-on-year, with expectations for continued stable performance in Q1 2025 [2] - Smart Electrical Lighting: Revenue was 8.33 billion yuan in 2024, a 5% increase year-on-year, although growth faced pressure in the second half of the year [3] - New Energy: Revenue surged to 780 million yuan in 2024, a remarkable 105% increase year-on-year, with continued rapid growth expected in Q1 2025 [4] Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 43.25%, with segment margins of 40.97% for electric connection, 46.18% for smart electrical lighting, and 34.81% for new energy [5] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 25.38%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.72 percentage points [5] Cash Flow and Valuation - The company reported a net operating cash flow of 3.73 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 23% year-on-year [11] - Future revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 18.1 billion, 19.9 billion, and 21.9 billion yuan respectively, with expected growth rates of 7.57%, 10.04%, and 9.74% [12]