Changshu Bank(601128) 申万宏源证券·2025-04-27 14:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank [1] Core Views - Changshu Bank's Q1 2025 revenue reached 3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.0%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.1 billion yuan, up 13.8% year-on-year [4][6] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased by 1 basis point to 0.76% quarter-on-quarter, and the provision coverage ratio fell by 11 percentage points to 490% [4][9] - The bank's performance remains strong, with revenue and profit growth placing it in the leading tier of the industry despite a slight slowdown in growth rates [6][9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total operating revenue (in million yuan) is projected to grow from 9,870.29 in 2023 to 11,601.01 in 2025E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.05% in 2023, 10.53% in 2024, and 6.34% in 2025E [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 3,281.50 million yuan in 2023 to 4,199.74 million yuan in 2025E, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.60% in 2023, 16.20% in 2024, and 10.14% in 2025E [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 13.69% in 2023, 14.12% in 2024, and 13.83% in 2025E [5] Key Operational Insights - The bank's non-interest income saw a significant increase of 62% year-on-year in Q1 2025, contributing 9.3 percentage points to revenue growth [6][9] - Interest income grew by 0.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, supported by asset expansion despite a narrowing interest margin [6][9] - Loan growth was 6.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with a focus on optimizing the loan structure and reducing risk exposure [6][11]