YouFa(601686) 民生证券·2025-04-27 14:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant improvement in profitability on a quarter-over-quarter basis, with a continuous increase in dividend yield [1] - Despite a year-on-year decline in revenue and net profit, the company managed to increase its market share against a backdrop of industry contraction [3] - The company is expanding its national footprint and exploring overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [3] Revenue and Profitability Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 54.822 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.01% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 425 million yuan, down 25.46% year-on-year - In Q4 2024, revenue was 14.752 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.59% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 8.10% - The net profit for Q4 2024 was 324 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.00% and a quarter-over-quarter turnaround to profit [1][2] Production and Sales Summary - The company's pipe sales volume in 2024 was 13.4734 million tons, a slight year-on-year decline of 0.90% - The overall production volume was 20.0949 million tons, down 0.93% year-on-year - The gross margin for Q4 2024 improved both year-on-year and quarter-over-quarter, reaching 5.03% [2] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, amounting to a total cash payout of 209 million yuan, with an annual cumulative dividend of 418 million yuan - The dividend payout ratio stands at 98.41%, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.49%, an increase of 0.61 percentage points year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The company aims to maintain its leading position in the industry while increasing market share despite overall market declines - It is actively pursuing a national expansion strategy and establishing new production bases in Yunnan and Anhui, while also exploring international market opportunities [3][4] - The company has implemented an employee stock ownership plan to enhance long-term development and employee motivation [4] Financial Forecast - The projected net profit for 2025 is 626 million yuan, with expected growth rates of 47.3% in 2025, followed by 3.8% and 4.6% in 2026 and 2027 respectively - The corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 12, 12, and 11 times respectively [5][9]