PING AN OF CHINA(02318) 交银国际·2025-04-28 04:38Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for China Ping An Insurance (2318 HK) with a target price of HKD 60.00, indicating a potential upside of 30.6% from the current price of HKD 45.95 [1][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights stable growth in operating profit and an unexpected increase in new business value, with a 34.9% year-on-year growth in new business value driven by various channels [5][11]. - The report notes a significant decline in net profit, down 26.4% year-on-year, primarily due to investment losses and a one-time valuation drop from the consolidation of Ping An Good Doctor [5][11]. - The report emphasizes improvements in the comprehensive cost ratio for property and casualty insurance, which decreased by 3 percentage points year-on-year to 96.6% [5][11]. - The solvency position is strong, with a core solvency ratio of 163.7%, up 47.3 percentage points from the end of 2024 [5][11]. Financial Overview - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 913,789 million in 2023 to RMB 1,057,335 million in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.5% [4][11]. - Net profit is expected to recover from RMB 85,665 million in 2023 to RMB 120,657 million in 2025, with a notable increase of 47.8% in 2024 [4][11]. - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) to be RMB 6.95 in 2024 and RMB 6.63 in 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.5 in 2025 [4][11]. Business Performance - The first quarter of 2025 saw a 2.4% year-on-year increase in operating profit after tax (OPAT), primarily from the life and health insurance segments, while property and casualty insurance and banking segments experienced declines [5][11]. - The new business value rate improved significantly, reaching 28.3%, an increase of 11.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to product structure optimization and cost reduction measures [5][11]. - The average daily trading volume of the stock is reported at 50.03 million shares, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 924.92 billion [3][11].