BYD(01211) 交银国际·2025-04-28 08:26Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to BYD Company Limited (1211 HK) with a target price of HKD 503.25, indicating a potential upside of 26.8% from the current closing price of HKD 397.00 [1][10]. Core Insights - BYD's Q1 2025 performance was significantly boosted by strong export growth, with revenue reaching RMB 70.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36% [2]. - The company's net profit for Q1 2025 doubled year-on-year to RMB 9.2 billion, with a notable increase in vehicle sales, achieving 1 million units sold, a 60% increase year-on-year [2][7]. - The report highlights BYD's competitive advantage through vertical integration in its supply chain, which has helped maintain a gross margin of 24% despite being in a traditionally weaker sales season [2][7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for BYD are as follows: RMB 602.3 billion in 2023, RMB 777.1 billion in 2024, and RMB 977.2 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 42.0%, 29.0%, and 25.8% respectively [6]. - Net profit is expected to grow from RMB 30.0 billion in 2023 to RMB 52.5 billion in 2025, with earnings per share projected to increase from RMB 13.33 to RMB 23.28 over the same period [6]. - The report anticipates that BYD's vehicle sales will reach 5.23 million units in 2025, representing a 23% year-on-year increase, driven by strong export performance and advancements in intelligent driving technology [7]. Market Position and Strategy - BYD is actively expanding its overseas presence, with plans to achieve 800,000 units in overseas sales by 2025, effectively doubling its export volume [7]. - The company is focusing on making advanced driving technology more accessible across its vehicle range, aiming for over 60% of its models to feature high-level autonomous driving systems by 2025 [7]. - The report emphasizes that BYD's strong export growth is expected to enhance its average selling price and gross margin, while its efforts in intelligent driving will solidify its market position in China [7].