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华鲁恒升(600426):业绩基本符合预期,Q1景气触底逐步回暖,成本端压力缓解,项目增量陆续体现

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 7.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 707 million yuan, down 33.7% year-on-year [6] - The report highlights that product price differentials are at a bottom level, with seasonal factors impacting product shipments [6] - The company is expected to see gradual recovery in demand and cost pressures easing, with new projects contributing to growth [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are 35.92 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.0% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at 3.97 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a slight increase of 1.7% year-on-year [2] - Earnings per share are expected to be 1.87 yuan in 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 11 [2] Market Data - As of April 25, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 20.97 yuan, with a market capitalization of 44.44 billion yuan [3] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 1.4 and a dividend yield of 4.29% [3] Product and Cost Analysis - The report notes that the average price differentials for key products are at historical lows, with significant declines in raw material prices, easing cost pressures [6] - The company is expected to benefit from new high-end chemical projects coming online, enhancing its competitive edge [6]