Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jingxin Pharmaceutical (002020) with a target price of 18, compared to the last closing price of 13.73 [1]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 9.56 billion, a year-on-year decline of 9.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.63 billion, down 4.62% year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 1.47 billion, a decrease of 6.45% year-on-year [4][5]. - The decline in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to the high base effect from the same period last year. The overall gross profit for Q1 was 4.56 billion, with a gross margin of 47.71%, down 4.17 percentage points from the previous year. The sales expense ratio improved to 15.84%, a decrease of 3.76% year-on-year [5][6]. - The company invested 0.87 billion in R&D in Q1 2025, focusing on innovative drug development. Clinical trials for key products are progressing well, including JX11502MA for schizophrenia and a modified new drug for ulcerative colitis [6]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts revenues of 43.67 billion, 46.73 billion, and 50.47 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 5.01%, 7.01%, and 8.00%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 8.20 billion, 9.11 billion, and 10.15 billion for the same years, with growth rates of 15.21%, 11.12%, and 11.35% respectively [7][8]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are estimated at 14, 13, and 12 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6][7].
京新药业(002020):Q1收入端下滑,销售费用率持续优化