BAOWU MAGNESIUM(002182) 天风证券·2025-04-28 10:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 8.98 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.39%, primarily driven by increased sales volume [1]. - The magnesium price has been on a downward trend, with an average price of 18,000 per ton in 2024, down 18% year-on-year, indicating a potential recovery phase ahead [2]. - The company is expanding its magnesium alloy applications in the automotive sector, achieving significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers [3]. - Despite profit pressures from magnesium prices, the company maintains a competitive cost advantage in magnesium smelting [4]. - The long-term growth potential is supported by the increasing demand for lightweight materials in various industries, including robotics and new energy vehicles [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 8.98 billion, with a net profit of 160 million, reflecting a 48% year-on-year decline [1]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 11.7%, slightly down from the previous year, with a gross profit contribution from magnesium and aluminum alloy products accounting for 59% of total gross profit [4]. Industry Position - The company has a complete magnesium industry chain with a production capacity of 100,000 tons of raw magnesium and 200,000 tons of magnesium alloy, aiming for a total capacity of over 500,000 tons annually [2]. - The magnesium price has been declining for nearly four years, positioning the company favorably for new applications as prices stabilize [5]. Application Expansion - The magnesium alloy and deep processing business generated 3.44 billion in revenue in 2024, representing 38% of total revenue, with significant advancements in automotive applications [3]. - The company is also making strides in the aluminum alloy extrusion sector, with a 67% year-on-year revenue increase [3]. Cost Structure - The company’s gross margin is under pressure due to magnesium prices, but it remains competitive with an average gross profit of nearly 2,800 per ton for magnesium alloy products [4].