STL(002648) 东吴证券·2025-04-28 14:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved significant growth in 2024, with total revenue reaching 45.65 billion yuan (up 10% year-on-year) and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 6.07 billion yuan (up 27% year-on-year) [7] - The increase in performance is primarily attributed to the production launch of a 100,000-ton ethanolamine project and an 800,000-ton polyol project [7] - The company has initiated a share buyback program, purchasing 350,000 shares at a maximum price of 18.90 yuan per share, totaling 6.59 million yuan [7] - The decline in ethane prices due to lower natural gas prices in the U.S. has improved profitability, with an average ethane price of 143 USD/ton in 2024 (down 35 USD/ton year-on-year) [7] - New projects are progressing steadily, including the first phase of the Lianyungang α-olefin high-end new materials industrial park, with a total investment of 26.6 billion yuan, expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [7] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 7 billion yuan and 9.1 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 10.7 billion yuan [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 53.77 billion yuan in 2025, 63.11 billion yuan in 2026, and 71.31 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.78%, 17.38%, and 12.99% respectively [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 7.04 billion yuan in 2025, 9.08 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.75 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 15.93%, 29.00%, and 18.38% respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 2.09 yuan in 2025, 2.70 yuan in 2026, and 3.19 yuan in 2027 [1] - The P/E ratios based on the closing price on April 25, 2025, are projected to be 9, 7, and 6 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7]