益丰药房：业绩稳健增长，继续保持高经营质量-20250429

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 24.062 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.529 billion RMB, up 8.3% year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.009 billion RMB, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 449 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 10.5% year-on-year [2]. - The company is focused on steady expansion while optimizing its store operations, resulting in a net increase of 1,434 stores in 2024, with a total of 14,694 stores by the end of Q1 2025 [3]. - The retail business generated revenue of 21.19 billion RMB in 2024, with a gross margin improvement of 1.8 percentage points, and the company aims to enhance its franchise and distribution business in 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 240.62 billion RMB and a net profit of 15.29 billion RMB, with a non-recurring net profit of 14.97 billion RMB [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 60.09 billion RMB and a net profit of 4.49 billion RMB [2]. Operational Analysis - The company opened 2,512 new stores in 2024, including 1,305 self-built, 381 acquired, and 826 franchised stores, while closing 1,078 stores [3]. - The retail business maintained a revenue of 52.6 billion RMB in Q1 2025, with a gross margin of 41.2% [3]. - The company reduced its selling expense ratio to 23.53% in Q1 2025, indicating initial success in cost reduction [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.79 billion RMB, 2.06 billion RMB, and 2.37 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17%, 15%, and 15% [4]. - The estimated EPS for the same years are 1.47 RMB, 1.70 RMB, and 1.95 RMB, with corresponding PE ratios of 19, 16, and 14 times [4].