KinLong(002791) 华泰证券·2025-04-29 04:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of 37.37 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 1.206 billion RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 11.70% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 30.16%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -40.61 million RMB, showing a reduction in losses compared to the previous value of -58.37 million RMB, with a year-over-year improvement of 11.46% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 171.10% [1]. - The company has shown initial success in cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with a gross margin of 30.55% in Q1 2025, a slight year-over-year increase of 0.19 percentage points, despite a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 2.09 percentage points [2]. - The company’s accounts receivable decreased by 6.7% year-over-year, and the operating cash flow improved, with a net cash outflow of 436 million RMB, which is 174 million RMB less than the previous year [3]. - The real estate market is showing signs of marginal improvement, which is expected to positively impact the demand for hardware products, potentially narrowing the decline in sales [4]. - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 6.613 billion RMB, 7.126 billion RMB, and 7.857 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits of 194.79 million RMB, 251.81 million RMB, and 314.27 million RMB [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 1.206 billion RMB, down 11.70% year-over-year and down 30.16% quarter-over-quarter. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -40.61 million RMB, showing a year-over-year improvement of 11.46% [1]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 30.55%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.19 percentage points [2]. - The company’s accounts receivable decreased to 3.004 billion RMB, a 6.7% decline year-over-year [3]. Market Outlook - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with new home sales in key cities increasing by 7.2% week-over-week, which may lead to improved demand for the company's products [4]. Valuation and Forecast - The revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.613 billion RMB, 7.126 billion RMB, and 7.857 billion RMB, with net profits of 194.79 million RMB, 251.81 million RMB, and 314.27 million RMB respectively [5].