新宝股份（002705）：公司信息更新报告：2025Q1外销延续较好景气，内销降幅收窄

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xinbao Co., Ltd. is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company continues to experience good external sales performance while the decline in domestic sales is narrowing. The overall revenue growth remains stable, with a projected net profit increase for 2025-2027 [5][6] - The company reported a revenue of 16.82 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.84%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.05 billion yuan, up 7.75% year-on-year [5][6] - The company is expected to benefit from category expansion, which is likely to drive steady growth in external sales, while improvements in domestic sales will enhance profitability [5][6] Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2025E Revenue: 18.52 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1% - 2025E Net Profit: 1.20 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4% [8][10] - Key Financial Ratios: - Gross Margin: 21.4% in 2025E - Net Margin: 6.5% in 2025E - Return on Equity (ROE): 13.3% in 2025E [8][11] Sales Performance - In Q1 2025, domestic sales revenue was 860 million yuan, down 5% year-on-year, while external sales revenue was 2.97 billion yuan, up 16% year-on-year. The trend shows a recovery in external sales and a narrowing decline in domestic sales [6][7] Market Outlook - The company is actively cooperating with downstream clients to shift production capacity, which is expected to support steady growth in external sales as overseas production ramps up [6][7]