CSCEC(601668) 天风证券·2025-04-29 06:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth in Q1 2025, with operating income reaching 555.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 15.01 billion yuan, up 0.6% year-on-year [1]. - The company has experienced a significant increase in new orders, with a total of 1,203.7 billion yuan in new contracts signed in Q1 2025, representing an 8.4% year-on-year growth. Key sectors contributing to this growth include industrial plants, energy engineering, and water conservancy [1][2]. - The company is expanding its overseas business, with new contracts amounting to 67.4 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 150%. Revenue from overseas operations also grew by 8.5% to 23.9 billion yuan [2]. - The strategic emerging industries of the company reported revenue of 45.3 billion yuan in Q1 2025, marking a 34.2% year-on-year increase, contributing to 8.2% of total revenue [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 7.85%, a slight decrease of 0.24 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 3.23%, down 0.02 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company reported a cash flow from operations (CFO) net outflow of 95.85 billion yuan in Q1 2025, which is a reduction in outflow by 0.74 billion yuan compared to the previous year [3]. - The company’s long-term profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are 47.52 billion yuan, 48.73 billion yuan, and 50.02 billion yuan respectively, indicating a gradual increase in profitability [4][5]. Business Segment Performance - In Q1 2025, the revenue from the construction business was 364.9 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year. The infrastructure segment saw a revenue increase of 0.5% to 128.3 billion yuan, while the surveying and design segment experienced a decline of 11.3% to 2.3 billion yuan [2]. - The real estate development segment achieved a revenue of 53.7 billion yuan, up 15.5% year-on-year, although the contracted sales decreased by 14.5% to 66.5 billion yuan [2]. - The company’s land reserves increased to 76.25 million square meters by the end of Q1 2025, with an addition of 1.95 million square meters during the quarter [2].