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光伏产业链价格下降,特高压建设进入释放期
华安证券·2025-04-29 06:26

Investment Rating - Industry Investment Rating: Overweight [1] Core Views - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a weakening market atmosphere, with continued price declines across the supply chain. N-type module prices fell by 0.02 CNY/W, driven by expectations of decreased terminal component demand as the 531 rush installation deadline approaches. It is recommended to focus on the BC technology industry trend, which has relatively high certainty for the year [3][17][22]. - Offshore wind projects are progressing steadily, with the Jiangsu 1550MW offshore wind project entering the basic phase of construction. The successful connection of the Guangdong Yangjiang offshore wind project to the grid marks a significant milestone [3][23]. - The energy storage sector is seeing a valuation recovery during the earnings announcement period, with a focus on storage PCS and industrial storage segments. Global energy storage demand is rebounding, particularly in Europe, and there is potential for valuation recovery in large-scale and household storage segments [3][26]. - The electric grid investment in the first quarter of 2025 reached 95.6 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%. The State Grid plans to accelerate investment in UHV projects in the second quarter [3][43]. - The electric vehicle sector is influenced by potential tariff exemptions proposed by the Trump administration, suggesting continued investment in high-profit companies within the sector [3][45]. Summary by Sections Photovoltaic - Market sentiment is weak, with prices continuing to decline. N-type components dropped by 0.02 CNY/W, and terminal component demand is expected to decrease [3][15][21]. - The supply chain is under pressure, with expectations of a decline in domestic terminal component demand in the second half of the year [3][17][22]. Wind Power - Offshore wind projects are entering a positive phase, with significant projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong making progress [3][23][24]. Energy Storage - The sector is experiencing a valuation recovery, with a focus on PCS and industrial storage. Global demand is increasing, particularly in Europe [3][26][27]. Electric Grid Equipment - Investment in electric grid projects in the first quarter of 2025 was 95.6 billion CNY, a 24.8% increase year-on-year. The State Grid is expected to enhance UHV investment in the second quarter [3][43][44]. Electric Vehicles - The electric vehicle sector is affected by proposed tariff exemptions, with a recommendation to continue investing in high-profit companies [3][45][46]. Hydrogen Energy - Multiple large-scale hydrogen projects are underway, with a focus on hydrogen production and storage. Significant investments are being made in green hydrogen projects [3][38][39][40].