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益丰药房(603939):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:巩固区域优势保持稳健扩张

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% in the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a total revenue of 24.062 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.529 billion yuan, up 8.26% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the revenue was 6.009 billion yuan, with a growth of 0.64%, and a net profit of 449 million yuan, increasing by 10.51% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company continues to expand its store network with a focus on regional advantages, adding 2,512 stores in 2024, including 1,305 self-built, 381 acquired, and 826 franchised stores, while closing 1,078 stores. As of the end of Q1 2025, the total number of stores reached 14,694, with a net increase of 10 stores from the end of 2024 [3]. - The company has optimized its supply chain and product cost control, achieving a coverage rate of over 98% for national procurement catalog products by the end of 2024, with more than 2,800 SKUs introduced [3]. - The gross margin for 2024 improved by 1.9 percentage points to 40.12%, while the net margin slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 6.87%. In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 39.64%, and the net margin increased by 0.7 percentage points to 8.21% [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 28.248 billion yuan in 2025, 32.573 billion yuan in 2026, and 37.560 billion yuan in 2027. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.825 billion yuan in 2025, 2.143 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.464 billion yuan in 2027 [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.51 yuan in 2025 and 1.77 yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18 times and 16 times, respectively [3][4].