Winner Medical(300888) 华泰证券·2025-04-29 06:40Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 60.06 [8][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 8.98 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, and a net profit of RMB 700 million, up 19.8% year-on-year. The revenue exceeded previous expectations, while profit was slightly below due to an asset impairment loss of approximately RMB 240 million [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 2.61 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.5%, and a net profit of RMB 250 million, also up 36.3% year-on-year. This growth is attributed to accelerated consumer goods sales and the consolidation of GRI in the medical segment [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from a dual growth strategy in consumer and medical sectors, with a strong growth momentum anticipated in 2025 [1]. Summary by Sections Consumer Products - The health and lifestyle consumer products segment generated revenues of RMB 4.99 billion in 2024 and RMB 1.34 billion in Q1 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.1% and 28.8%, respectively. Key product categories such as cotton soft towels and sanitary napkins saw double-digit growth [2]. Medical Supplies - The medical supplies segment reported revenues of RMB 3.91 billion in 2024 and RMB 1.25 billion in Q1 2025, with year-on-year growth of 1.1% and 46.3%, respectively. The high base effect from infection prevention products is gradually being digested, while regular products showed strong growth [3]. Financial Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 decreased by 1.7 percentage points to 47.3%, primarily due to rising raw material costs. The expense ratio also decreased by 1.7 percentage points to 35.5%, benefiting from revenue growth [4]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 upwards, with expected net profits of RMB 1.06 billion, RMB 1.30 billion, and RMB 1.59 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding EPS is projected to be RMB 1.82, RMB 2.23, and RMB 2.73 [5].