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远兴能源(000683):天然碱成本优势渐显,看好公司新建项目成长性

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6][17] Core Views - The report highlights the cost advantages of natural soda ash becoming apparent, and it is optimistic about the growth potential of the company's new projects [6][8] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 13.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.13%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 14.17% year-on-year to 2.07 billion yuan [6][10] - The report anticipates that with the completion of the Alashan Phase II project and the 1.2 million tons of sodium bicarbonate project, the company is expected to further expand its growth space [6][8] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company sold 5.75 million tons of soda ash, a year-on-year increase of 123.88% [7] - The average cost of soda ash for the company in 2024 was 741 yuan per ton, a decrease of 12.31% year-on-year [7] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.70 billion yuan, 2.08 billion yuan, and 2.14 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.45 yuan, 0.56 yuan, and 0.57 yuan [6][10] Project Development - As of the end of 2024, the Alashan natural soda project Phase II had an accumulated investment of 1.406 billion yuan, with a project progress of 25%, expected to be completed by December 2025 [8] - The company plans to build a 1.2 million tons sodium bicarbonate project, with a total investment of 3.56 billion yuan, projected to have a pre-tax internal rate of return of 22.15% [8]