Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical (300705) 平安证券·2025-04-29 07:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.931 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.85%, while the net profit increased by 39.13% to 512 million yuan [3][7]. - The improvement in the sales expense ratio, which decreased by 6.29 percentage points to 42.27%, significantly contributed to the higher profit growth compared to revenue growth [7]. - The company’s core product, the Loxoprofen Sodium Gel Patch, saw a substantial increase in sales, with a 25.65% growth in the hospital market and a remarkable 173.79% growth in the outpatient market [7]. - The company is expanding its product line with new external preparations, enhancing its long-term competitive edge [7]. Financial Summary - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 3.373 billion yuan in 2024 to 5.201 billion yuan by 2027, with a steady increase in current assets [9]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 600 million yuan and 746 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.03 yuan in 2024 to 1.83 yuan by 2027, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [10]. Revenue and Profitability Projections - Revenue is expected to grow from 2.931 billion yuan in 2024 to 4.804 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16.3% [10]. - The gross margin is projected to remain stable around 73.9% to 74.0% over the forecast period, indicating strong cost control [10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to improve from 20.3% in 2024 to 21.0% by 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [10].