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海天味业(603288):25年开局稳健,盈利能力持续改善
603288HAI TIAN(603288) 平安证券·2025-04-29 07:19

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for Haitian Flavor Industry Co., Ltd. (603288.SH) with a current stock price of 41.26 yuan [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.315 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.08%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.202 billion yuan, up 14.77% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.147 billion yuan, reflecting a 15.42% increase [4]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 improved to 40.04%, up 2.73 percentage points from the previous year, driven by reduced raw material costs and enhanced production efficiency [7]. - The company’s product matrix is diverse, with soy sauce generating 4.420 billion yuan in revenue (up 8.20%), seasoning sauces at 0.913 billion yuan (up 13.95%), and oyster sauce at 1.360 billion yuan (up 6.10%) [7]. - Online sales grew significantly, with a 43.20% increase to 0.417 billion yuan, while offline sales rose by 8.95% to 7.565 billion yuan [7]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 7.004 billion yuan, 7.740 billion yuan, and 8.463 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 1.26 yuan, 1.39 yuan, and 1.52 yuan [8]. - The report anticipates a steady growth in revenue, with projections of 29.658 billion yuan, 32.357 billion yuan, and 35.011 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]. - The company’s P/E ratios are estimated to decrease from 32.8 in 2025 to 27.1 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [10].