Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 13.08, compared to the current price of RMB 9.96 [1][6][13]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance due to improved wind conditions, with onshore and offshore wind utilization hours increasing by 152 and 421 hours year-on-year, respectively [1][6][13]. - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of RMB 14.56 billion, a slight decrease of 0.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.79 billion, an increase of 6.5% year-on-year [6][13]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows promising results with revenue of RMB 3.1 billion, up 0.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 750 million, up 42.8% year-on-year, driven by strong wind resources [6][13]. Financial Summary - The financial summary indicates that the company’s revenue is expected to grow from RMB 14.56 billion in 2024 to RMB 18.44 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.6% [4][7]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from RMB 2.79 billion in 2024 to RMB 3.73 billion in 2027, with a CAGR of 13.1% [4][7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from RMB 1.00 in 2024 to RMB 1.34 in 2027 [4][7]. Future Growth Potential - The company has a robust pipeline of future projects, including a combined heat and power (CHP) project with an expected internal rate of return (IRR) of 12.55% for Phase I and 17.73% for Phase II, projected to commence in 2026 and 2027, respectively [6][14]. - The offshore wind project in Changle J Zone is expected to be operational by early 2027, with an IRR of 5.03% [6][14]. - The company plans to initiate a mid-term dividend of no less than 10% in 2025, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns while pursuing growth [6][14].
福能股份(600483):2024年年报点评:首次覆盖:风况好转,首提中期分红