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苏州银行(002966):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:业绩增长稳健,资产质量持续优异

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Suzhou Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights steady growth in performance and continued excellent asset quality for Suzhou Bank [1] - The bank's total operating income for 2024 is projected to be 12.224 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.01% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to reach 5.068 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.16% [1] - The report anticipates a slight adjustment in net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now projected at 5.444 billion yuan, 5.323 billion yuan, and 5.910 billion yuan respectively [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total operating income (in million yuan): - 2023A: 11,866 - 2024A: 12,224 (3.01% YoY) - 2025E: 12,987 (6.24% YoY) - 2026E: 14,192 (9.28% YoY) - 2027E: 15,832 (11.56% YoY) [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million yuan): - 2023A: 4,600 - 2024A: 5,068 (10.16% YoY) - 2025E: 5,444 (7.41% YoY) - 2026E: 5,323 (-2.22% YoY) - 2027E: 5,910 (11.02% YoY) [1] - Latest diluted EPS (in yuan/share): - 2023A: 1.00 - 2024A: 1.08 - 2025E: 1.15 - 2026E: 1.12 - 2027E: 1.25 [1] - P/B (current price & latest diluted): - 2023A: 0.92 - 2024A: 0.83 - 2025E: 0.70 - 2026E: 0.66 - 2027E: 0.62 [1] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for Q1 2025 remains stable at 0.83% [1] - The provision coverage ratio for Q1 2025 decreased to 447% due to a rapid increase in non-performing loan balances [1] - The report indicates a slight increase in the non-performing loan generation rate to 0.20% in Q1 2025 [1] Market Data - Closing price: 8.11 yuan - Market capitalization: 36.257 billion yuan [5] - Price-to-book ratio: 0.74 [5] Conclusion - The report maintains a positive outlook on Suzhou Bank, emphasizing its robust performance and asset quality, while also noting the potential for further growth in the coming years [1]