Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company with a current price of 9.98 CNY and a fair value of 11.52 CNY [3]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in aerospace demand, with a strong positioning in the special cable sector and significant profit elasticity due to product structure optimization [1][36]. - The company plans to achieve a revenue growth of 0-50% and a net profit growth of 0-100% in 2025 compared to 2024 [7][8]. - The aerospace and fusion equipment cable revenue has shown a significant improvement, with a 232.07% increase in early 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 [7][8]. Financial Forecast - Revenue is projected to grow from 34.70 billion CNY in 2023 to 74.76 billion CNY by 2027, with annual growth rates of 15.1%, 19.8%, 24.4%, 21.6%, and 18.8% respectively [2][40]. - The company's EBITDA is expected to increase from 161 million CNY in 2023 to 560 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong upward trend [2]. - Net profit is forecasted to rise from 87 million CNY in 2023 to 336 million CNY in 2027, with significant growth rates of -21.2%, 26.1%, 61.2%, 42.2%, and 34.3% [2][40]. Business Overview - The company is a leading manufacturer of special cables, with a strong focus on aerospace, data communication, and other high-end applications [10][25]. - It has established a competitive advantage in the special cable market, particularly in aerospace and fusion equipment, with over 70 years of technical experience [7][36]. - The company has been recognized as one of the top 50 in the "China Cable Industry 100" and has consistently been rated among the "Top Ten Brands of Special Cables" in China [10][25]. Market Opportunities - The aerospace and fusion equipment sector is expected to see increased demand due to modernization efforts in military and defense spending, with projections indicating a market demand exceeding 10 billion CNY by 2027 [28]. - The company is also actively expanding into emerging markets such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and robotics, which are anticipated to drive future growth [36][31]. - The electric power sector is poised for growth due to infrastructure upgrades and increased capital expenditures, with significant investments planned by state-owned enterprises [30][39].
华菱线缆（001208）：特种线缆受益航天复苏，产品结构优化盈利弹性大