SAILUN GROUP(601058) 华创证券·2025-04-29 09:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.20 CNY, compared to the current price of 12.07 CNY [4][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable operating performance, focusing on product competitiveness and global capacity layout. The revenue for 2024 reached 31,802 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 22.42%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4,063 million CNY, up 31.42% year-on-year [9][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.23 CNY per share for 2024, amounting to a total of 1,249 million CNY, which represents 30.76% of the annual net profit [9]. - The company has seen a steady increase in tire production and sales, with 2024 figures showing production of 74.81 million tires and sales of 72.16 million tires, reflecting year-on-year growth of 27.6% and 29.3%, respectively [9][10]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 8,411 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 15.29%, and a net profit of 1,039 million CNY, which is a slight increase of 0.47% year-on-year [9]. - The average selling price of tire products in Q1 2025 was 417.6 CNY per tire, showing a decrease of 0.4% year-on-year [9]. - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 was 24.74%, down 2.94 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by rising raw material costs [9]. Market and Production Insights - The company achieved revenues of 23,810 million CNY from overseas markets and 7,550 million CNY from domestic markets in 2024, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 23.6% and 19.9% [9]. - The overseas subsidiaries in Vietnam and Cambodia reported revenues of 8,644 million CNY and 4,039 million CNY, respectively, with significant growth in Cambodia [9]. - The company has a robust capacity planning, with a total planned annual production capacity of 27.65 million full-steel tires and 106 million semi-steel tires, indicating strong growth potential [9]. Future Projections - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 4,193 million CNY and 5,019 million CNY, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 5,829 million CNY [9][10]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the upcoming years are 10x for 2024, 9x for 2025, and 8x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [10].