YDC(605555) 申万宏源证券·2025-04-29 09:11Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company's revenue met expectations, but the performance was below expectations. In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 81 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5% [6] - The company announced a shareholder dividend return plan for the next three years (2025-2027), with minimum cash dividend ratios of 80%, 40%, and 20% for different stages of business maturity [6] - The home appliance business is experiencing rapid order growth, with increased market share from major clients and new project contributions. The automotive parts business is entering a revenue realization phase, contributing to growth [6] - The automotive parts business saw revenue of 412 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 104.54%, with a gross margin increase of 11.37 percentage points to 21.65% [6] - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 472 million, 536 million, and 673 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.0%, 13.6%, and 25.4% respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 16, 14, and 11 [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2024 is 4,095 million yuan, with a projected growth rate of 47.6%. For 2025, the revenue is expected to be 5,158 million yuan, with a growth rate of 26.0% [2][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 411 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 27.5%, and is expected to reach 472 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 15.0% [2][8] - The gross margin is projected to be 18.0% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 14.2% [2][8] Market Data - As of April 28, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 19.91 yuan, with a market capitalization of 7,414 million yuan [3] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 2.5 and a dividend yield of 1.76% based on the most recent dividend announcement [3]