GoodWe Technologies (688390) 东吴证券·2025-04-29 09:33Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to see a slight improvement in Q1 2025 compared to the previous quarter, with continued growth anticipated in Q2, leading to a significant increase in annual shipments [1] - The report highlights that the company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 6.738 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be -0.618 billion yuan, a decline of 107.25% [1] - For 2025, the company is forecasted to achieve a revenue of 9.334 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.53%, and a net profit of 0.353 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial increase of 671.66% [1] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2023 is 7.353 billion yuan, with a projected decline to 6.738 billion yuan in 2024, followed by a recovery to 9.334 billion yuan in 2025 [1] - The net profit for 2023 is 0.852 billion yuan, expected to drop to -0.618 billion yuan in 2024, before rebounding to 0.353 billion yuan in 2025 [1] Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Valuation - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is 3.51 yuan, which is expected to fall to -0.25 yuan in 2024, and then rise to 1.46 yuan in 2025 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 28.18 for 2025, decreasing to 19.75 in 2026 and further to 14.19 in 2027 [1] Market and Operational Insights - The company is expected to see a recovery in shipments due to strong domestic demand and overseas market improvements, with a forecast of 800,000 units shipped in 2025, a year-on-year increase of over 30% [9] - The report indicates that the company's energy storage shipments are anticipated to double in 2025, with significant growth expected in Q2 of that year [9] - The household system segment is projected to grow steadily, with expected revenue of 3.06 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 85% [9]