晶合集成（688249）：稼动率维持高位带动毛利率提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.568 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.25%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 135 million RMB, up 70.92% year-on-year [1][2] - The increase in net profit is primarily driven by revenue growth and high capacity utilization, along with a decrease in unit sales costs, leading to improved gross margins [1] - The semiconductor market is expected to continue its recovery, with the company benefiting from stable demand in LCD/TDDI and rapid revenue contributions from new platforms [2][3] Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Review - The global semiconductor market is recovering, with a projected sales increase of 20.3% year-on-year to 632.3 billion USD in 2024, positively impacting the company's revenue growth [2] - The company has successfully ramped up production of new platforms, including 55nm mid-to-high-end single-chip and stacked CIS chip processes, and has achieved mass production of 40nm high-voltage OLED chips [2] 2025 Outlook - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in OLED, CIS, and automotive markets, with OLED demand expected to reach 860 million units in 2025, and a projected CAGR of 5.1% for the global CIS market from 2022 to 2028 [3] - The company is actively enhancing its OLED and CIS platform applications and has completed multiple automotive process certifications [3] Financial Projections and Valuation - The target price is set at 27.10 RMB, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 870 million, 1.12 billion, and 1.31 billion RMB respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.44, 0.56, and 0.65 RMB [4] - The report assigns a PB of 2.50x for 2025, reflecting a discount to the industry average of 3.0x due to pricing pressures and high depreciation during the capacity expansion phase [4]