JCET(600584) 华泰证券·2025-04-29 11:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 46.74 RMB [4][7][8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.335 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.44% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 15.01%. The gross margin was 12.63%, up 0.43 percentage points year-on-year but down 0.71 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 203 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 50.39% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 61.86% [1][2] - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to the consolidation of Shengdi Semiconductor and an increase in orders from the advanced packaging market both domestically and internationally. The company is optimistic about future performance driven by new capacity releases and the ramp-up of advanced packaging business [1][2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company focused on advanced technologies and key application markets, achieving significant revenue growth in computing electronics (92.9%), automotive electronics (66.0%), and industrial and medical electronics (45.8%). This optimization in business structure contributed to a gross margin increase [2] - The company completed the acquisition of Shengdi Semiconductor, which reported a revenue of 799 million RMB and a net profit of 94 million RMB in Q4 2024. The consolidation of Shengdi has positively impacted the company's Q1 2025 performance [2] Market Outlook - The global semiconductor market is expected to grow by 19% to 627 billion USD in 2024, which will drive an 8% growth in the global packaging and testing market to 82 billion USD. The report is optimistic about the recovery of the semiconductor market and structural growth in AI-related fields [3] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with a new automotive electronics packaging production base in Shanghai expected to commence operations in the second half of 2025. The company is also set to benefit from high-performance computing, AI, and automotive electronics demand [3] Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.04 billion RMB, 2.38 billion RMB, and 2.90 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.14 RMB, 1.33 RMB, and 1.62 RMB. The company is assigned a 2025 PE ratio of 41.0x, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 33.5x due to its leading position in advanced packaging technologies [4][6]