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中广核电力(01816):电价承压利润受挤压,装机容量稳步提升
01816CGN POWER(01816) 国证国际·2025-04-29 11:19

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 3.30, indicating a potential upside of 31.5% from the recent closing price of HKD 2.51 [1][4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of CNY 20.028 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.41%, driven by increased power generation from subsidiaries [2][4]. - However, the company's profit faced pressure, with a net profit of CNY 3.026 billion, down 16.07% year-on-year, primarily due to increased market trading volumes, declining market prices, and a significant rise in R&D expenses [2][4]. - The approval of four new nuclear units is expected to provide stable growth for the company's future capacity [3][4]. - The company has 16 units under construction, with a total capacity of 19,406 MW, indicating substantial growth potential [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 89.4 billion, CNY 93.6 billion, and CNY 99.2 billion, with growth rates of 2.96%, 4.69%, and 6.1% respectively [4][9]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are CNY 11 billion, CNY 11.7 billion, and CNY 12.2 billion, with growth rates of 2.08%, 5.73%, and 4.90% respectively [4][9]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of CNY 0.095 per share for 2024, maintaining a payout ratio of 44.36%, which is an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][6].