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中航光电(002179):盈利能力短期承压,回购彰显未来发展决心
002179JONHON(002179) 东方证券·2025-04-29 13:31

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 47.79 CNY, based on a 27x PE for 2025 [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 4.839 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 20.56%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 640 million CNY, down 14.78% [1][8]. - The decline in profitability is attributed to a lower proportion of military products, changes in product structure, and rising raw material costs, leading to a gross margin decrease to 28.44% (down 7.12 percentage points) and a net margin decrease to 13.91% (down 5.88 percentage points) [8]. - The company plans to repurchase shares worth between 150 million and 300 million CNY, representing 0.14%-0.28% of the total shares, to enhance investor confidence and internal motivation [8]. - The defense sector is expected to recover, and new industries such as civil aviation and satellite internet present growth opportunities, indicating potential for a return to high-quality growth [8]. Financial Information Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 23.778 billion CNY, 27.536 billion CNY, and 31.978 billion CNY, respectively, with expected growth rates of 14.9%, 15.8%, and 16.1% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 3.740 billion CNY in 2025 to 5.101 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 11.5% and 17.5% [3]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 36.2% from 2025 to 2027, while the net margin is projected to be around 15.7% to 16.0% [3].