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中联重科(000157):2025年一季报点评:外销持续内销改善,新兴业务潜力凸显
000157Zoomlion(000157) 民生证券·2025-04-29 13:55

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.117 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.41 billion yuan, up 53.98% year-on-year and 270.08% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 28.67%, with a net margin of 12.51%, reflecting improvements in profitability due to a higher proportion of high-margin overseas business and recovery in domestic sales [1]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its platform-based development potential, with significant growth in traditional product lines and emerging businesses, including a 122% year-on-year revenue increase in agricultural machinery [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net operating cash flow of 740 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 141%, indicating substantial improvement [1]. - The forecast for total revenue from 2024 to 2027 shows a growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 52.649 billion yuan in 2025, 63.309 billion yuan in 2026, and 73.651 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 15.8%, 20.2%, and 16.3% respectively [4][9]. Business Development - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with a diversified regional sales structure and a focus on enhancing its direct sales system, which supports market expansion and risk mitigation [3]. - The company is also investing in new business areas such as mining machinery and emergency equipment, driven by technological innovation and increased R&D investment [2]. Profitability and Valuation - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 5.062 billion yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 12x, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4][9].