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华图山鼎(300492):2024年报及2025一季报点评:业绩进入兑现期,发布员工持股计划

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has entered a profit realization phase, with significant revenue and profit growth reported for 2024 and Q1 2025. The revenue for 2024 reached 2.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1,046%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.53 billion yuan, up 158% year-on-year [8] - The company has launched an employee stock ownership plan, allowing 275 core employees, including 13 executives, to acquire shares at a price of 45.91 yuan per share, with a total investment cap of 1.25 billion yuan [8] - The company is expected to continue to release profits as it stabilizes operations post-employee stock plan implementation, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 3.7 billion, 4.5 billion, and 4.9 billion yuan respectively [8] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, total revenue is projected at 28.33 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1,046% and a net profit of 0.53 billion yuan, reflecting a 158% increase [8] - The first quarter of 2025 shows revenue of 8.27 billion yuan, a 19% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.21 billion yuan, up 67% year-on-year [8] - The non-academic training business has seen substantial growth, with revenue reaching 2.79 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1,309% [8] Valuation Metrics - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.38 yuan, increasing to 2.62 yuan in 2025, and further to 3.22 yuan in 2026 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 34.78 for 2025, 28.32 for 2026, and 26.27 for 2027, indicating a relatively reasonable valuation within the public examination training industry [8]