Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.451 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 98.2 million yuan, down 15.0% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is actively optimizing its store structure, closing underperforming stores, resulting in a total of 3,031 stores by the end of 2024, with a net closure of 785 stores [2] - The average single-store revenue for self-operated and franchised stores in 2024 was 840,000 yuan and 346,000 yuan respectively, indicating a significant decline due to weak consumer spending and intensified competition [2] - The gross profit margin improved by 4.4 percentage points to 56.8% in 2024, driven by cost reductions and lean management [2] - The company is focusing on enhancing single-store efficiency and optimizing product structure to improve competitiveness and brand strength [3] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2,451 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -10.88% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 98.2 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -15.03% [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.07 yuan, 0.08 yuan, and 0.10 yuan respectively [3][4] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 4.01%, slightly down from the previous year [2][6] - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 420 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [2] Industry Insights - The prepared food industry is facing challenges such as intensified competition from other snack categories and a shift in consumer spending patterns [2] - The recovery of single-store performance is seen as a key signal for a new round of development in the industry [2] - The company is leveraging its unique flavor appeal to enhance its product offerings in new distribution channels, including partnerships with major retailers like Costco [3]
周黑鸭(01458):积极调整,单店拐点已现