卓然股份（688121）：未来在手订单有望逐步确认

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 168 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 227.91% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 81.52%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -8 million yuan, indicating a reduction in losses [5][11] - The company has a total of 5.868 billion yuan in orders on hand, with significant contributions expected from engineering general contracting services in 2025-2026 [11] - The company is focusing on high-end, green, and intelligent development in response to national policies aimed at promoting the chemical industry [11] - The petrochemical equipment market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.2% from 2024 to 2027, reaching a market size of 951.4 billion yuan by 2027 [11] - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 130 million yuan, 150 million yuan, and 200 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19.3X, 16.9X, and 12.3X [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue was 168 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 227.91% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 81.52%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -8 million yuan, showing a reduction in losses [5][11] Order Book and Revenue Recognition - The company has 5.868 billion yuan in orders on hand, with engineering general contracting services expected to contribute significantly to revenue recognition in 2025-2026 [11] Industry Outlook - The petrochemical equipment market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.2% from 2024 to 2027, reaching a market size of 951.4 billion yuan by 2027 [11] Strategic Focus - The company is actively pursuing high-end, green, and intelligent development in alignment with national policies aimed at enhancing the chemical industry [11] Profit Forecast - Projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 130 million yuan, 150 million yuan, and 200 million yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 19.3X, 16.9X, and 12.3X [11]